Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
183 Colgate 0.0%   15 - 17 12 - 6 15 - 17 12 - 6 -1.2      -0.6 183 -0.6 183 58.7 330 -3.1 223 +0.1 2
191 Lafayette 100.0%   15   19 - 12 9 - 9 19 - 12 9 - 9 -1.5      -0.8 191 -0.8 191 65.4 191 0.0 163 -3.9 5
196 American 0.0%   17 - 16 8 - 10 17 - 16 8 - 10 -1.8      -0.9 196 -0.9 196 51.5 351 -1.3 190 -5.2 8
199 Lehigh 0.0%   15 - 14 10 - 8 15 - 14 10 - 8 -1.9      -1.0 199 -1.0 199 71.8 54 -2.2 201 -2.6 3
201 Bucknell 0.0%   18 - 14 13 - 5 18 - 14 13 - 5 -2.0      -1.0 201 -1.0 201 65.2 204 -0.7 176 +1.7 1
239 Boston University 0.0%   12 - 17 9 - 9 12 - 17 9 - 9 -4.4      -2.2 239 -2.2 239 65.7 181 -4.5 246 -3.6 4
241 Holy Cross 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 10 13 - 16 8 - 10 -4.5      -2.3 241 -2.3 241 64.4 222 -3.8 234 -4.9 7
266 Navy 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -5.6      -2.8 266 -2.8 266 59.8 312 -6.1 275 -4.7 6
269 Army 0.0%   14 - 15 6 - 12 14 - 15 6 - 12 -5.7      -2.9 269 -2.9 269 77.3 14 -4.0 240 -7.4 10
301 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 11 11 - 19 7 - 11 -8.0      -4.0 301 -4.0 301 63.1 262 -5.8 265 -5.8 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 2.0 100.0
Lafayette 4.0 100.0
American 6.0 100.0
Lehigh 3.0 100.0
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
Boston University 4.0 100.0
Holy Cross 6.0 100.0
Navy 6.0 100.0
Army 10.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 12 - 6 100.0
Lafayette 9 - 9 100.0
American 8 - 10 100.0
Lehigh 10 - 8 100.0
Bucknell 13 - 5 100.0
Boston University 9 - 9 100.0
Holy Cross 8 - 10 100.0
Navy 8 - 10 100.0
Army 6 - 12 100.0
Loyola Maryland 7 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate
Lafayette
American
Lehigh
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
Boston University
Holy Cross
Navy
Army
Loyola Maryland


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 2.9 41.0 56.1
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 100.0% 11.3% 93.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 93.8% 0.9 6.2 93.8
2nd Round 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0